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<article xmlns:ns2="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:ns3="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML">
    <front>
        <journal-meta>
            <journal-title-group>
                <journal-title>OENO One</journal-title>
            </journal-title-group>
        </journal-meta>
        <article-meta>
            <title-group>
                <article-title>Seasonal differences in Vitis vinifera L. cv. Pinot noir fruit and wine quality in relation to climate</article-title>
            </title-group>
            <aff id="aff1">
                <sup>
                    <italic>1</italic>
                </sup>Hochschule Geisenheim University, Department of General and Organic Viticulture, Von-Lade-Strasse, 1, 65366 Geisenheim, Germany</aff>
            <contrib-group>
                <contrib contrib-type="author">
                    <name>
                        <surname>Blank</surname>
                        <given-names>Magli</given-names>
                    </name>
                    <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
                        <sup>
                            <italic>1</italic>
                        </sup>
                    </xref>
                </contrib>
                <contrib contrib-type="author">
                    <name>
                        <surname>Stoll</surname>
                        <given-names>MarcoHofmann1andManfred</given-names>
                    </name>
                    <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
                        <sup>
                            <italic>1</italic>
                        </sup>
                    </xref>
                </contrib>
            </contrib-group>
            <author-notes>
                <corresp id="cor1">
                    <sup>
                        <italic>*</italic>
                    </sup>Keywords : climate change, tannins, anthocyanins, water deficit, micro-scale winemaking</corresp>
            </author-notes>
            <abstract/>
        </article-meta>
    </front>
    <body>
        <sec id="Introduction">
            <title>Introduction</title>
            <p>Many studies have linked increases in temperature to earlier phenological events in grape berry development, with the potential to greatly affect fruit and wine characteristics (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">Duchêne and Schneider, 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref53">Petrie and Sadras, 2008</xref>; Webb <italic>et al</italic>., 2011). A sound understanding of the climatic contribution to wine quality would provide tools for assessing the future impact of climate change on vintage quality. The price of a bottle of wine is used generally as an indicator for wine quality (Ashenfelter <italic>et al</italic>., 1995; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref33">Jones and Storchmann, 2001</xref>) or an overall rank of each vintage between wine reviewers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref32">Jones and Goodrich, 2008</xref>) or as a consensus ranking (Baciocco <italic>et al</italic>., 2014), with all the bias it could imply. From the literature review, a hypothesis was proposed that high-quality vintages were linked to warmer than normal growing seasons with high heat accumulation and below normal precipitation, as observed for American Viticultural Areas (Jones <italic>et al</italic>., 2005; White <italic>et al</italic>., 2006; Nicholas <italic>et al</italic>., 2011). In this study, we used data gathered under controlled conditions from a single vineyard for the analysis of grape berry phenolics, and a micro-scale winemaking technique to produce wines in similar conditions for each vintage over 11 years. The aim of the study was to link the impact of seasonal weather conditions to berry composition, i.e. phenolics in skins and seeds, followed by analysis of the wine produced using a standardized micro-scale winemaking approach for all vintages. </p>
        </sec>
        <sec id="Materials-and-methods">
            <title>Materials and methods</title>
            <sec id="Growth-conditions-and-experimental-setup">
                <title>Growth conditions and experimental setup</title>
                <p>A rootstock trial was established in 2003 at Hochschule Geisenheim University in the Rheingau Region (Germany; 49°98'77.9"N 7°93'98.5"E) (Blank <italic>et al</italic>., 2018). <italic>Vitis vinifera</italic> L. cv. Pinot Noir, clone Gm1-1 grafted on Selection Oppenheim 4 (SO4) rootstock was used for the purpose of the study, which covered a period of 11 years from 2005 to 2015. Four replicates of 14 vines in a randomized block design were selected. Temperature (mean, max, min, in °C), precipitations (mm), wind speed (ms<sup>-1</sup>) at two heights (cm) and solar radiation (h) were recorded daily by a station located approximately 400 m away from the site of the experiment. The heat summation of growing degree days from the first day of the year (DOY) was calculated on a 10°C basis (ΣGDD<sub>10°C</sub>). Reference evapotranspiration (ET<sub>0</sub>) was estimated using the FAO-56 Penman-Monteith equation (Allen <italic>et al</italic>., 1998). The major phenological stages were assessed using the BBCH system (Lorenz <italic>et al</italic>., 1994).</p>
            </sec>
            <sec id="Modeling-of-vine-and-soil-water-balance-of-a-vintage">
                <title>Modeling of vine and soil water balance of a vintage</title>
                <p>Soil water balance was calculated according to the model of Hofmann <italic>et al</italic>. (2014) which is based on the model of Lebon <italic>et al</italic>. (2003), accounting for the presence of cover crop (Celette <italic>et al</italic>., 2010). Soil water holding capacity (SWC) was relatively low for this vineyard (125–150 mm; Löhnertz <italic>et al</italic>., 2004). The fraction of transpirable soil water (FTSW) was calculated to quantify plant water deficit, and the vine predawn leaf water potential (ψ<sub>pd</sub>) was modeled according to the relationship between ψ<sub>pd</sub> and FTSW (Lebon <italic>et al</italic>., 2003; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">Gruber and Schultz, 2005</xref>).</p>
            </sec>
            <sec id="Bunch-rot-estimation-through-Botrytis-cinerea">
                <title>Bunch rot estimation through Botrytis cinerea</title>
                <p>An estimate of the level of <italic>Botrytis cinerea</italic> bunch rot was determined visually on 100 bunches per replicate according to a scoring system with seven classes. From this scoring, disease incidence was calculated as the number of bunches that were infected out of all that were assessed, and disease severity was calculated as the intensity of disease affecting the bunches.</p>
            </sec>
            <sec id="Description-of-vigor-induced-by-the-rootstock">
                <title>Description of vigor induced by the rootstock</title>
                <p>The mass of wood removed during pruning (pruning mass) and the mass of grapes harvested (fruit yield) were recorded for each of the four replicates.</p>
            </sec>
            <sec id="Yield-juice-primary-compounds">
                <title>Yield juice primary compounds</title>
                <p>At harvest, five bunches per replicate were selected to determine primary juice compounds as total soluble solids (TSS; °Brix), pH and titratable acidity, malic and tartaric acid concentration (by FTIR, FT2 WineScan Flex) and the concentration of primary amino acid N-OPA (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">Dukes and Butzke, 1998</xref>).</p>
            </sec>
            <sec id="Grape-skin-and-seed-extracts-and-winemaking">
                <title>Grape skin and seed extracts and winemaking</title>
                <p>At harvest, 100-berry samples (50 berries per canopy side) were collected from each field replicate around 21°Brix and frozen at -20°C. A 20-berry sub-sample was later selected for the analysis of phenolic compounds and the remaining 80-berry sub-sample was used for micro-scale winemaking as described elsewhere (Lafontaine <italic>et al</italic>., 2011). Grape skin and seeds were analyzed separately according to the method of Harbertson <italic>et al</italic>. (2002) for phenolics in grape berries. For the micro-scale winemaking, fermentors were created from 250 mL jars and lids with air-locks, with a stainless-steel screen to plunge down the pomace. The wine was fermented for six days on skins and the pomace was pressed after a two-week post-fermentation period.</p>
            </sec>
            <sec id="Phenolics-in-grapes-and-wines">
                <title>Phenolics in grapes and wines</title>
                <p>The analysis of tannins was performed on skin/seed extracts or wine samples according to Harbertson <italic>et al</italic>. (2002) with a bovine serum albumin (BSA) protein solution. All measurements were performed with a VIS spectrophotometer (Odyssey, Hach Lange GmbH, Düsseldorf, Germany). Tannin concentration was calculated as mg CE (catechin equivalent) using a standard curve. For the analysis of anthocyanins, skin extracts or wine samples were analyzed according to Heredia <italic>et al</italic>. (2006). Anthocyanin concentrations were calculated as Malvidin-3-O-glucoside (M3OG) equivalents.</p>
            </sec>
            <sec id="Statistical-analysis">
                <title>Statistical analysis</title>
                <p>The open source R 3.3.1 statistical computing environment (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria) was used for all ANOVA and graphs with the platform Eclipse Mars Release (4.5.2) (Eclipse Foundation, Ottawa, ON, Canada) and its plug-in StatET 3.5 (WalWare-Team, Dortmund, Germany). Differences between the seasons means were compared using the Tukey HSD test (P=0.01 or P=0.05). Multiple linear regressions (MLR) and model reduction through a stepwise selection of predictor variables (forward, backward and both) were conducted using the R package MASS (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref64">Venables and Ripley, 2002</xref>) and its function stepAIC. The R package FactoMineR (Lê <italic>et al</italic>., 2008) was used for principal component analysis (PCA) on variables scaled to unit variance.</p>
            </sec>
        </sec>
        <sec id="Results">
            <title>Results</title>
            <sec id="Climatic-conditions-and-phenology">
                <title>Climatic conditions and phenology</title>
                <p>Bud break date (usually April 23) was 13 days earlier in 2011 and 2014. The Grapevine Flowering Véraison (GFV) model (Parker <italic>et al</italic>., 2011) could predict the flowering date (R<sup>2</sup>=0.755) with a root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 4.65 days. The sums of growing degree days (ΣGDD<sub>10°C</sub>) and precipitations were calculated according to the specific stages of development. The water deficit of the plant was quantified as the modeled daily predawn water deficit (ψ<sub>pd</sub>) during vine development (Figure 1). All vintages were above a ψ<sub>pd</sub> of -0.6 MPa during bud break and flowering (Figure 1a) but water deficit was high for the 2006 season during the period of flowering to <italic>véraison</italic> (Figure 1b). Conversely, water deficit was high during the period <italic>véraison</italic> to harvest for the 2009 season (Figure 1c). In the PCA of the climate parameters (Figure 2), the first two components accounted cumulatively for 68.63% of the total variance of the data. The first PC (PC1) separated years with different predawn water deficits (ψ<sub>pd</sub>) before <italic>véraison</italic> as median ψ<sub>pdBb-Fl </sub>(33.38%) and ψ<sub>pdFl-V </sub>(29.95%), whereas PC2 emphasized differences for the ΣGDD<sub>10°C</sub> after flowering as ΣGDD<sub>Fl-V </sub>(31.46%) and ΣGDD<sub>V-H</sub> (35.98%). It was possible to form five groups according to the similarity of their weather conditions (<bold>1</bold>: 2009; <bold>2</bold>: 2011–2012; <bold>3</bold>: 2005, 2007, 2008; <bold>4</bold>: 2010, 2013, 2014, 2015 and <bold>5</bold>: 2006]) mostly separated according to differences in the ΣGDD<sub>10°C</sub> after flowering on PC2.</p>
                <p/>
                <p/>
                <p>
                    <fig>
                        <label>Table</label>
                        <caption>
                            <title>Figure 1. Modeled predawn water deficit (ψpd).</title>
                            <p>Vine predawn leaf water potential (ψ<sub>pd</sub>) modeled from the fraction of transpirable soil water (FTSW) (Lebon <italic>et al</italic>., 2003; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">Gruber and Schultz, 2005</xref>) for the periods of <bold>(a)</bold> bud break (Bb) to flowering (Fl) ψ<sub>pdBb-Fl</sub>, <bold>(b)</bold> flowering (Fl) to <italic>véraison</italic> (V) ψ<sub>pdFl-V</sub>, and <bold>(c) </bold>ψ<sub>pdV-H </sub>
<italic>véraison</italic> (V) to harvest (H) ψ<sub>pdV-H</sub>. A ψ<sub>pd</sub> of -0.6 MPa was retained as the limit for severe stress (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref28">Hofmann and Schultz, 2015</xref>). The central box in each box plot indicates the interquartile range and the bold line indicates the median; whiskers indicate the 10th and 90th percentiles of the daily ψ<sub>pd</sub>. The mean is marked with a square.</p>
                        </caption>
                        <graphic mimetype="image" ns2:type="simple" ns2:href="image1.jpg"/>
                    </fig>
                </p>
                <fig>
                    <label>Table</label>
                    <caption>
                        <title>Figure 1. Modeled predawn water deficit (ψpd).</title>
                        <p>Vine predawn leaf water potential (ψ<sub>pd</sub>) modeled from the fraction of transpirable soil water (FTSW) (Lebon <italic>et al</italic>., 2003; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">Gruber and Schultz, 2005</xref>) for the periods of <bold>(a)</bold> bud break (Bb) to flowering (Fl) ψ<sub>pdBb-Fl</sub>, <bold>(b)</bold> flowering (Fl) to <italic>véraison</italic> (V) ψ<sub>pdFl-V</sub>, and <bold>(c) </bold>ψ<sub>pdV-H </sub>
                            <italic>véraison</italic> (V) to harvest (H) ψ<sub>pdV-H</sub>. A ψ<sub>pd</sub> of -0.6 MPa was retained as the limit for severe stress (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref28">Hofmann and Schultz, 2015</xref>). The central box in each box plot indicates the interquartile range and the bold line indicates the median; whiskers indicate the 10th and 90th percentiles of the daily ψ<sub>pd</sub>. The mean is marked with a square.</p>
                    </caption>
                    <graphic mimetype="image" ns2:type="simple" ns2:href="image1.jpg"/>
                </fig>
                <p/>
                <p/>
                <p/>
                <p>
                    <fig>
                        <label>Table</label>
                        <caption>
                            <title>Figure 2. PCA of the weather conditions for the 11 years of the study.</title>
                            <p>Principal component analysis (PCA) of weather conditions recorded daily by a station located approximately 400 m away from the site of the experiment. (<bold>a</bold>) PC1/PC2 loadings plot, which explains 68.63 % of total variance. (<bold>b</bold>) PC1/PC2 scores plot. The cumulative growing degree days (ΣGDD<sub>10°C</sub>) was determined as the sum of the daily average temperatures above a base temperature of 10°C for the period of bud break (Bb) to flowering (Fl) (ΣGDD<sub>Bb-Fl</sub>); flowering (Fl) to <italic>véraison</italic> (V) (ΣGDD<sub>Fl-V</sub>), and <italic>véraison</italic> (V) to harvest (H) (GDD<sub>V-H</sub>). The vine predawn leaf water potential (ψ<sub>pd</sub>) was modeled for the period of bud break (Bb) to flowering (Fl) (ψ<sub>pdBb-Fl</sub>); flowering (Fl) to <italic>véraison</italic> (V) (ψ<sub>pd Fl-V</sub>) and <italic>véraison </italic>(V) to harvest (H) (ψ<sub>pd V-H</sub>). The numbers indicate the groups formed, according to the PCA.</p>
                        </caption>
                        <graphic mimetype="image" ns2:type="simple" ns2:href="image2.jpg"/>
                    </fig>
                </p>
                <fig>
                    <label>Table</label>
                    <caption>
                        <title>Figure 2. PCA of the weather conditions for the 11 years of the study.</title>
                        <p>Principal component analysis (PCA) of weather conditions recorded daily by a station located approximately 400 m away from the site of the experiment. (<bold>a</bold>) PC1/PC2 loadings plot, which explains 68.63 % of total variance. (<bold>b</bold>) PC1/PC2 scores plot. The cumulative growing degree days (ΣGDD<sub>10°C</sub>) was determined as the sum of the daily average temperatures above a base temperature of 10°C for the period of bud break (Bb) to flowering (Fl) (ΣGDD<sub>Bb-Fl</sub>); flowering (Fl) to <italic>véraison</italic> (V) (ΣGDD<sub>Fl-V</sub>), and <italic>véraison</italic> (V) to harvest (H) (GDD<sub>V-H</sub>). The vine predawn leaf water potential (ψ<sub>pd</sub>) was modeled for the period of bud break (Bb) to flowering (Fl) (ψ<sub>pdBb-Fl</sub>); flowering (Fl) to <italic>véraison</italic> (V) (ψ<sub>pd Fl-V</sub>) and <italic>véraison </italic>(V) to harvest (H) (ψ<sub>pd V-H</sub>). The numbers indicate the groups formed, according to the PCA.</p>
                    </caption>
                    <graphic mimetype="image" ns2:type="simple" ns2:href="image2.jpg"/>
                </fig>
                <p/>
                <p>
                    <break/>
                </p>
                <p/>
                <p>
                    <fig>
                        <label>Table</label>
                        <caption>
                            <title>Table 1. Results for Pinot noir on SO4 for 2005-2015</title>
                            <p>Results of the one-way ANOVA on year (Y). Main effects significant at *P&lt;0.05, **P&lt;0.01, ***P&lt;0.001 or not significant (ns). Values with the same letter within one column are not significantly different at P&lt;0.05 using the Least Significant Difference (LSD) post hoc test. Values are the mean (±SD) of four replicates within one year.</p>
                        </caption>
                        <graphic mimetype="image" ns2:type="simple" ns2:href="image3.jpg"/>
                    </fig>
                </p>
                <fig>
                    <label>Table</label>
                    <caption>
                        <title>Table 1. Results for Pinot noir on SO4 for 2005-2015</title>
                        <p>Results of the one-way ANOVA on year (Y). Main effects significant at *P&lt;0.05, **P&lt;0.01, ***P&lt;0.001 or not significant (ns). Values with the same letter within one column are not significantly different at P&lt;0.05 using the Least Significant Difference (LSD) post hoc test. Values are the mean (±SD) of four replicates within one year.</p>
                    </caption>
                    <graphic mimetype="image" ns2:type="simple" ns2:href="image3.jpg"/>
                </fig>
                <p/>
                <p/>
            </sec>
            <sec id="Pruning-mass-and-yield">
                <title>Pruning mass and yield</title>
                <p>Warm and dry conditions during the flowering <italic>véraison</italic> period for groups 1, 4 and 5 resulted in a higher amount of wood removed at pruning. The yield range over the 11 seasons was between 6100 kg ha<sup>-1</sup> (2010) to more than double that at 15100 kg ha<sup>-1</sup> (2015) (Table 1). Wet conditions around the flowering period favored fruit set, while warmer conditions together with higher precipitation during the maturation period resulted in a higher yield. However, higher infestation levels of <italic>Botrytis cinerea</italic> (2006, 2007, 2010) negatively impacted yield and required a selective harvest.</p>
            </sec>
            <sec id="Juice-primary-compounds">
                <title>Juice primary compounds</title>
                <p>As the grapes were destined for red wine production, special attention was directed to <italic>Botrytis </italic>infection; the aim was to limit the severity to under 5% and therefore the date of harvest was moved forward to avoid further infestation. The TSS for 2006 (average 23.59°Brix) were unusually high (Table 1). Although targeted final TSS was 21°Brix, TSS for the seasons 2009, 2011, 2012 (groups 1 and 2) was also significantly higher, with a lower total titratable acidity (TA) and malic acid in the musts. Lower TA was obtained under warmer conditions during the maturation period, as was the concentration of malic acid in the musts. The accumulation of primary amino acid N-OPA in the juices was independent of maturity differences (R<sup>2</sup>=0.172) and was extremely low for group 4. The accumulation of primary amino acid N-OPA in the juices seemed positively correlated to the GDD<sub>10°C</sub> accumulated between bud break and flowering (R<sup>2</sup>= 0.748).</p>
            </sec>
            <sec id="Anthocyanin-concentrations-in-berries">
                <title>Anthocyanin concentrations in berries</title>
                <p>Anthocyanin concentrations in the skins was negatively correlated to N-OPA in the musts (R<sup>2</sup>=0.475) and was enhanced by increased heat accumulation during the period of flowering to <italic>véraison</italic> (R<sup>2</sup>=0.616). However, for the concentration in mg g<sup>-1</sup> berry fresh weight (BFW), anthocyanin accumulations depended greatly on vine water status before <italic>véraison</italic> (<italic>PD_Bb-Fl </italic>R<sup>2</sup>=0.617, <italic>PD_Fl-V </italic>R<sup>2</sup>=0.487). When considering the groups formed according to the weather conditions, higher anthocyanin concentrations in the berries were observed in 2009 (group 1; Figure 3a). Indeed, high water deficits after <italic>véraison</italic> for the 2009 season limited the Pinot Noir berry weight. </p>
                <p/>
                <p/>
                <p>
                    <fig>
                        <label>Table</label>
                        <caption>
                            <title>Figure 3. Anthocyanins in berry skin and their extraction into wine.</title>
                            <p>The central box in each box plot indicates the interquartile range and the bold line indicates the median; the whiskers indicate the 10th and 90th percentiles. The mean is marked as a square. A 20-berry sample per replicate was analyzed according to the method of Harbertson <italic>et al</italic>. (2002). BFW, berry fresh weight. (<bold>a</bold>) Skin anthocyanins (mg M3OG g<sup>-1</sup> BFW), (<bold>b</bold>) Wine anthocyanins (mg M3OG L<sup>-1</sup>).</p>
                        </caption>
                        <graphic mimetype="image" ns2:type="simple" ns2:href="image4.jpg"/>
                    </fig>
                </p>
                <fig>
                    <label>Table</label>
                    <caption>
                        <title>Figure 3. Anthocyanins in berry skin and their extraction into wine.</title>
                        <p>The central box in each box plot indicates the interquartile range and the bold line indicates the median; the whiskers indicate the 10th and 90th percentiles. The mean is marked as a square. A 20-berry sample per replicate was analyzed according to the method of Harbertson <italic>et al</italic>. (2002). BFW, berry fresh weight. (<bold>a</bold>) Skin anthocyanins (mg M3OG g<sup>-1</sup> BFW), (<bold>b</bold>) Wine anthocyanins (mg M3OG L<sup>-1</sup>).</p>
                    </caption>
                    <graphic mimetype="image" ns2:type="simple" ns2:href="image4.jpg"/>
                </fig>
                <p/>
                <p/>
                <p>An MLR analysis was performed and the concentration of anthocyanins in the berry skins was higher for seasons with limited yields and lower berry weight and skin weight (Table 2). </p>
                <p/>
                <p>
                    <table-wrap position="float" orientation="portait">
                        <label>Table</label>
                        <caption>
                            <title>Table 2. Multiple linear regression analysis for the prediction of berry anthocyanins.</title>
                        </caption>
                        <alternatives>
                            <table style="table table-bordered table-striped affichage-tableau">
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<thead>
    <tr>
        <th xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:xs="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema" xsi:type="xs:string">titre du tableau </th>
    </tr>
</thead>
<tr>
    <th>
        <bold>Prediction of anthocyanin concentrations in berries [mg g<sup>-1</sup> berry skin] </bold>
    </th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>Variables</th>
    <th>Estimate</th>
    <th>sd</th>
    <th>t value</th>
    <th>P</th>
    <th/>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X3</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>ΣGDD_V-H</italic>
    </th>
    <th>0.002</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>0.011</th>
    <th>0.173</th>
    <th>&lt;0.001</th>
    <th>***</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X4</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>PD_Bb-Fl</italic>
    </th>
    <th>2.091</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>7.358</th>
    <th>0.284</th>
    <th>&lt;0.001</th>
    <th>***</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X5</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>PD_Fl-V</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-1.990</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>4.867</th>
    <th>-0.409</th>
    <th>&lt;0.001</th>
    <th>***</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X7</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Wood weight (kg ar<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-0.001</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>0.049</th>
    <th>-0.013</th>
    <th>0.014</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X8</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Yield (kg ar<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-0.014</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>0.010</th>
    <th>-1.388</th>
    <th>&lt;0.001</th>
    <th>***</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X9</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Average berry weight (g berry<sup>-1</sup>) </italic>
    </th>
    <th>-2.940</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>2.225</th>
    <th>-1.322</th>
    <th>&lt;0.001</th>
    <th>***</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X10</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Average skin weight (g berry<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>53.919</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>14.046</th>
    <th>3.839</th>
    <th>&lt;0.001</th>
    <th>***</th>
</tr>
                            </table>
                        </alternatives>
                        <table-wrap-foot>
                            <fn>
<p>Prediction of anthocyanins through an MLR analysis and model reduction through a stepwise selection of predictor variables (forward, backward and both) for anthocyanin concentrations in Pinot noir berries.</p>
                            </fn>
                        </table-wrap-foot>
                    </table-wrap>
                </p>
                <p/>
                <p/>
            </sec>
            <sec id="Anthocyanins-in-wines">
                <title>Anthocyanins in wines</title>
                <p>Wine anthocyanins (Figure 3b) were mostly explained by the groups formed, which were separated in PC2 according to differences in the ΣGDD<sub>10°C</sub> after flowering (Figure 2). The highest anthocyanin extraction in wine was in 2006 (group 5) and the lowest was in 2009 (group 1). The anthocyanin extraction rate into wine was around 50% of the berry anthocyanin at harvest and the concentration of anthocyanins in the skins was not the only significant predictor for the concentration in the wine. When considering the results of the MLR (Table 3), the anthocyanin concentrations in the skins had a positive contribution to wine anthocyanins, together with skin weight per berry and a negative contribution of berry weight, while a lower yield and higher Brix led to an enhanced extraction of the anthocyanins in the wine. However, the most important contributor for the prediction of the anthocyanin extraction in the wine was the water stress experienced during the period of maturation, which influenced the concentration in the wine. A higher water stress during this period coupled with warmer conditions led to wine with enhanced color.</p>
                <p/>
                <p>
                    <table-wrap position="float" orientation="portait">
                        <label>Table</label>
                        <caption>
                            <title>Table 3. Multiple linear regression analysis for the prediction of wine anthocyanins.</title>
                        </caption>
                        <alternatives>
                            <table style="table table-bordered table-striped affichage-tableau">
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<thead>
    <tr>
        <th xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:xs="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema" xsi:type="xs:string">titre du tableau </th>
    </tr>
</thead>
<tr>
    <th>
        <bold>Prediction of anthocyanin concentrations in wine [mg L<sup>-1</sup> Wine] </bold>
    </th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>Variables</th>
    <th>Estimate</th>
    <th>sd</th>
    <th>t value</th>
    <th>P</th>
    <th/>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X1</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>ΣGDD_Bb-Fl</italic>
    </th>
    <th>0.602</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>0.329</th>
    <th>1.831</th>
    <th>0.042</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X2</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>ΣGDD_Fl-V</italic>
    </th>
    <th>0.105</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>0.185</th>
    <th>0.571</th>
    <th>0.023</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X3</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>ΣGDD_V-H</italic>
    </th>
    <th>0.039</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>0.166</th>
    <th>0.238</th>
    <th>&lt;0.001</th>
    <th>***</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X4</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>PD_Bb-Fl</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-55.331</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>116.046</th>
    <th>-0.477</th>
    <th>0.033</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X5</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>PD_Fl-V</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-36.384</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>76.886</th>
    <th>-0.473</th>
    <th>0.025</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X6</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>PD_V-H</italic>
    </th>
    <th>159.321</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>39.458</th>
    <th>4.038</th>
    <th>0.001</th>
    <th>***</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X7</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Wood weight (kg ar<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>1.264</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>0.770</th>
    <th>1.641</th>
    <th>0.051</th>
    <th>.</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X8</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Yield (kg ar<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-0.384</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>0.166</th>
    <th>-2.322</th>
    <th>0.009</th>
    <th>**</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X9</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Average berry weight (g berry<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>12.175</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>36.236</th>
    <th>0.336</th>
    <th>0.027</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X10</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Average skin weight (g berry<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>1513.600</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>278.833</th>
    <th>5.428</th>
    <th>0.011</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X13</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Total soluble solids (TSS) (°Brix)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>8.217</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>4.148</th>
    <th>1.981</th>
    <th>0.045</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X19</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Anthocyanins (mg g<sup>-1</sup> berry skin)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>17.874</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>3.149</th>
    <th>5.676</th>
    <th>0.001</th>
    <th>***</th>
</tr>
                            </table>
                        </alternatives>
                        <table-wrap-foot>
                            <fn>
<p>Prediction of anthocyanins through an MLR analysis and model reduction through a stepwise selection of predictor variables (forward, backward and both) for anthocyanin concentrations in wines.</p>
                            </fn>
                        </table-wrap-foot>
                    </table-wrap>
                </p>
                <p/>
            </sec>
            <sec id="Tannins-in-berries">
                <title>Tannins in berries</title>
                <p>Berry tannin concentration was correlated to total phenolic concentration for seeds (R<sup>2</sup>=0.662) and skins (R<sup>2</sup>=0.963). Tannin concentration in seeds ranged from 24.30 to 45.14 mg g<sup>-1 </sup>seed with an average 36.51 mg g<sup>-1 </sup>and an even greater variability in skins from 9.37 to 40.14 mg g<sup>-1 </sup>skin. Tannin concentration was negatively correlated to N-OPA in musts for seeds (R<sup>2</sup>=0.291) and skins (R<sup>2</sup>=0.492). Furthermore, tannin concentration was negatively related to the ΣGDD<sub>10°C</sub> (between bud break and flowering) in seeds (R<sup>2</sup>=0.529) and positively in skins (R<sup>2</sup>=0.264). Consequently, warmer conditions during bud break and flowering favored the accumulation of tannins in skins compared to seeds. </p>
                <p/>
                <p>An MLR analysis was performed and 95% of the variation in tannin concentration in skins could be explained by an enhanced accumulation due to warmer conditions and higher water stress during the period between flowering and <italic>véraison </italic>(Table 3). However, a negative contribution of berry weight, skin weight per berry, pH and yield were also observed. </p>
                <p/>
                <p/>
                <p>
                    <table-wrap position="float" orientation="portait">
                        <label>Table</label>
                        <caption>
                            <title>Table 4. Multiple linear regression analysis for the prediction of skin tannins.</title>
                        </caption>
                        <alternatives>
                            <table style="table table-bordered table-striped affichage-tableau">
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<thead>
    <tr>
        <th xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:xs="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema" xsi:type="xs:string">titre du tableau </th>
    </tr>
</thead>
<tr>
    <th>
        <bold>Prediction of tannin concentration in berry skin [mg g<sup>-1</sup> berry skin] </bold>
    </th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>Variables</th>
    <th>Estimate</th>
    <th>sd</th>
    <th>t value</th>
    <th>P</th>
    <th/>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X1</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>ΣGDD_Bb-Fl</italic>
    </th>
    <th>0.008</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>0.035</th>
    <th>0.228</th>
    <th>0.034</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X2</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>ΣGDD_Fl-V</italic>
    </th>
    <th>0.059</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>0.020</th>
    <th>2.910</th>
    <th>&lt;0.001</th>
    <th>***</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X3</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>ΣGDD_V-H</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-0.023</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>0.018</th>
    <th>-1.266</th>
    <th>0.023</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X4</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>PD_Bb-Fl</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-15.951</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>12.939</th>
    <th>-1.233</th>
    <th>0.029</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X5</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>PD_Fl-V</italic>
    </th>
    <th>29.343</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>8.558</th>
    <th>3.429</th>
    <th>&lt;0.001</th>
    <th>***</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X6</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>PD_V-H</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-15.190</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>4.383</th>
    <th>-3.466</th>
    <th>0.032</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X7</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Wood weight (kg ar<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-0.043</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>0.086</th>
    <th>-0.498</th>
    <th>&lt;0.001</th>
    <th>***</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X8</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Yield (kg ar<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-0.057</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>0.018</th>
    <th>-3.201</th>
    <th>0.045</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X9</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Average berry weight (g berry<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-2.671</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>3.912</th>
    <th>-0.683</th>
    <th>0.041</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X10</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Average skin weight (g berry<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-154.214</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>24.700</th>
    <th>-6.243</th>
    <th>&lt;0.001</th>
    <th>***</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X14</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>pH</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-8.490</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>7.085</th>
    <th>-1.198</th>
    <th>0.018</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
                            </table>
                        </alternatives>
                        <table-wrap-foot>
                            <fn>
<p>Prediction of tannins through an MLR analysis and model reduction through a stepwise selection of predictor variables (forward, backward and both) for tannin concentration in berries (upper tables) and wines (lower table) for Pinot noir.</p>
                            </fn>
                        </table-wrap-foot>
                    </table-wrap>
                </p>
                <p/>
                <p>
                    <break/>
                </p>
                <p>Furthermore, 86% of the variation in tannin concentration in seeds could be explained with a positive contribution of higher ΣGDD<sub>10°C</sub> between bud break and flowering and by dry condition during this period (Table 5). However, other factors positively contributed to yield, berry weight and average seed weight. Although the timing of influence seemed different for seeds and skin, in general, warmer conditions between flowering and <italic>véraison</italic> were coupled with an accumulation of tannins in berries and the effect was enhanced under water deficit during this period, especially in 2005. The final concentration in berries was related to the concentration in skins and seeds, but also to berry anatomy, with a positive contribution of number of seeds per berry and seed weight and a negative contribution of berry weight, which was related to the water deficit during flowering and <italic>véraison.</italic> The temperature sum between bud break and flowering was by far the largest contribution.</p>
                <p/>
                <p>
                    <table-wrap position="float" orientation="portait">
                        <label>Table</label>
                        <caption>
                            <title>Table 5. Multiple linear regression analysis for the prediction of seed tannins.</title>
                        </caption>
                        <alternatives>
                            <table style="table table-bordered table-striped affichage-tableau">
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<thead>
    <tr>
        <th xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:xs="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema" xsi:type="xs:string">titre du tableau </th>
    </tr>
</thead>
<tr>
    <th>
        <bold>Prediction of tannin concentration in berry seeds [mg g<sup>-1</sup> berry seeds] </bold>
    </th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>Variables</th>
    <th>Estimate</th>
    <th>sd</th>
    <th>t value</th>
    <th>P</th>
    <th/>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X1</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>ΣGDD_Bb-Fl</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-0.168</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>0.045</th>
    <th>-3.774</th>
    <th>&lt;0.001</th>
    <th>***</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X3</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>ΣGDD_Fl-V</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-0.071</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>0.023</th>
    <th>-3.025</th>
    <th>0.018</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X4</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>PD_Bb-Fl</italic>
    </th>
    <th>20.141</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>16.353</th>
    <th>1.232</th>
    <th>&lt;0.001</th>
    <th>***</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X6</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>PD_V-H</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-3.728</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>5.539</th>
    <th>-0.673</th>
    <th>0.043</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X7</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Wood weight (kg ar<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-0.014</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>0.109</th>
    <th>-0.126</th>
    <th>0.01</th>
    <th>**</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X8</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Yield (kg ar<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>0.072</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>0.023</th>
    <th>3.181</th>
    <th>&lt;0.001</th>
    <th>***</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X9</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Average berry weight (g berry<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>20.517</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>4.945</th>
    <th>4.149</th>
    <th>0.012</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X11</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Number of seeds per berry</italic>
    </th>
    <th>2.799</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>2.777</th>
    <th>1.008</th>
    <th>0.076</th>
    <th>.</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X12</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Average seed weight (g seed<sup>-1</sup>) </italic>
    </th>
    <th>455.523</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>202.036</th>
    <th>2.255</th>
    <th>0.027</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
                            </table>
                        </alternatives>
                        <table-wrap-foot>
                            <fn>
<p>Prediction of tannins through an MLR analysis and model reduction through a stepwise selection of predictor variables (forward, backward and both) for tannin concentration in berry seeds.</p>
                            </fn>
                        </table-wrap-foot>
                    </table-wrap>
                </p>
                <p/>
                <p/>
                <p/>
                <p>Furthermore, warmer conditions during the period between flowering and <italic>véraison</italic>, most relevant for tannin production, resulted in an enhanced accumulation of tannin in skins (R<sup>2</sup>=0.597). When considering the groups formed according to the weather conditions, higher tannin concentrations in the skins were observed for group 4 (Figure 4b), mainly separated by PC1 (Figure 2) and related to water deficit before <italic>véraison</italic>. </p>
                <p/>
                <p/>
                <p>
                    <fig>
                        <label>Table</label>
                        <caption>
                            <title>Figure 4. Tannin in skin and seeds and its extraction into wine.</title>
                            <p>The central box in each box plot indicates the interquartile range and the bold line indicates the median; the whiskers indicate the 10th and 90th percentiles. A 20-berry sample per replicate was analyzed according to the method of Harbertson <italic>et al</italic>. (2002). BFW, berry fresh weight. (<bold>a</bold>) Seed tannins (mg CE g<sup>-1</sup> BFW), (<bold>b</bold>) Skin tannins (mg CE g<sup>-1 </sup>BFW), (<bold>c</bold>) Wine tannins (mg CE L<sup>-1</sup>).</p>
                        </caption>
                        <graphic mimetype="image" ns2:type="simple" ns2:href="image5.jpg"/>
                    </fig>
                </p>
                <fig>
                    <label>Table</label>
                    <caption>
                        <title>Figure 4. Tannin in skin and seeds and its extraction into wine.</title>
                        <p>The central box in each box plot indicates the interquartile range and the bold line indicates the median; the whiskers indicate the 10th and 90th percentiles. A 20-berry sample per replicate was analyzed according to the method of Harbertson <italic>et al</italic>. (2002). BFW, berry fresh weight. (<bold>a</bold>) Seed tannins (mg CE g<sup>-1</sup> BFW), (<bold>b</bold>) Skin tannins (mg CE g<sup>-1 </sup>BFW), (<bold>c</bold>) Wine tannins (mg CE L<sup>-1</sup>).</p>
                    </caption>
                    <graphic mimetype="image" ns2:type="simple" ns2:href="image5.jpg"/>
                </fig>
                <p/>
                <p/>
                <p>
                    <break/>
                </p>
                <p>The years with more tannins in seeds were also the years with more tannins in skins, with the exception of 2005, 2015, 2011, which contained more seed tannin compared to skin tannins. When considering the tannin concentration in the fruit, it was not only the concentration <italic>per se</italic>, but also the relative quantity of the grape material that played a role in the latter extraction in the wine. Furthermore, the number of seeds and the seed size (related to seed weight) is of importance. The high concentration of tannins in the seeds for these three seasons were less the result of a higher number but more the result of much smaller seeds, leading to a higher extraction surface. The number of seeds per berry and the seed weight were correlated to the amount of precipitation during the early stages of bud break and flowering (R<sup>2</sup>=0.724, R<sup>2</sup>=0.686, respectively).</p>
            </sec>
            <sec id="Tannins-in-wines">
                <title>Tannins in wines</title>
                <p>As the wines were produced using micro-scale fermentation, each field replicate could be separately investigated under similar conditions for all seasons and an ANOVA comparing the phenolic extraction in wine in relation to the season was applied. When considering the groups formed according to the weather conditions, higher tannin concentrations in the wines were observed for groups 2 and 4 (Figure 4c), mostly separated by PC1 (Figure 2) and related to water deficit before <italic>véraison</italic>. The prediction of tannin concentration in wines (R<sup>2</sup>=0.567) showed a positive contribution of berry weight, skin weight per berry, pH and yield; there was a negative impact of seed tannin concentration but a positive impact of skin tannin concentration (Table 6). </p>
                <p/>
                <p>
                    <table-wrap position="float" orientation="portait">
                        <label>Table</label>
                        <caption>
                            <title>Table 6. Multiple linear regression analysis for the prediction of tannins in wines.</title>
                        </caption>
                        <alternatives>
                            <table style="table table-bordered table-striped affichage-tableau">
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<col width="100%"/>
<thead>
    <tr>
        <th xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:xs="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema" xsi:type="xs:string">titre du tableau </th>
    </tr>
</thead>
<tr>
    <th>
        <bold>Prediction of tannin concentration in wines [mg L<sup>-1</sup> wine] </bold>
    </th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>Variables</th>
    <th>Estimate</th>
    <th>sd</th>
    <th>t value</th>
    <th>P</th>
    <th/>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X3</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>ΣGDD_V-H</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-0.285</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>1.116</th>
    <th>-0.255</th>
    <th>0.006</th>
    <th>**</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X4</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>PD_Bb-Fl</italic>
    </th>
    <th>1073.819</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>731.219</th>
    <th>1.469</th>
    <th>0.009</th>
    <th>**</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X7</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Wood weight (kg ar<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>4.251</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>4.462</th>
    <th>0.953</th>
    <th>0.026</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X8</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Yield (kg ar<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>1.169</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>1.158</th>
    <th>1.009</th>
    <th>0.010</th>
    <th>**</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X9</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Average berry weight (g berry<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>177.854</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>281.023</th>
    <th>0.633</th>
    <th>0.044</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X10</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Average skin weight (g berry<sup>-1</sup>)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>611.995</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>2312.313</th>
    <th>0.265</th>
    <th>&lt;0.001</th>
    <th>***</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X14</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>pH</italic>
    </th>
    <th>4.450</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>7.085</th>
    <th>1.112</th>
    <th>0.018</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X19</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Tannins (mg g<sup>-1</sup> berry seeds)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>-5.311</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>8.863</th>
    <th>-0.599</th>
    <th>0.023</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th>
        <italic>X20</italic>
    </th>
    <th>
        <italic>Tannins (mg g<sup>-1</sup> berry skin)</italic>
    </th>
    <th>14.241</th>
    <th>±</th>
    <th>11.201</th>
    <th>1.271</th>
    <th>0.021</th>
    <th>*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
    <th/>
    <th/>
    <th/>
    <th/>
    <th/>
    <th/>
    <th/>
    <th/>
    <th/>
</tr>
                            </table>
                        </alternatives>
                        <table-wrap-foot>
                            <fn>
<p>Prediction of tannins through an MLR analysis and model reduction through a stepwise selection of predictor variables (forward, backward and both) for tannin concentration in wines.</p>
                            </fn>
                        </table-wrap-foot>
                    </table-wrap>
                </p>
                <p/>
                <p/>
                <p/>
                <p>As previously observed, water stress during the period before <italic>véraison</italic> enhanced the extraction of tannins in the wines. The total tannin concentration in the berries was not correlated to the concentration in the wines (n=44, R<sup>2</sup>=0.191), seeds (n=44, R<sup>2</sup>=0.384), or skins (n=44, R<sup>2</sup>=0.179) alone. Using this micro-scale fermentation, it was possible to move the analyses to a mass balance approach. The observed extraction rate of grape tannins into the wines was calculated by comparing the concentration in wine to the initial (total) fruit tannin content and was, on average, low at 10%. Large differences were observed between the seasons in the extraction rate, which was between 5.75% (2015) and 13.85% (2012). A negative correlation was observed between the extraction rate and the <italic>Σ</italic>GDD<sub>10°C</sub> between flowering and <italic>véraison</italic> (R<sup>2</sup>=0.567). A higher temperature during flowering and <italic>véraison</italic> had not only a positive influence on the tannin concentration in berries also but seemed to have a negative influence on their extractability into wine (data not shown). </p>
                <p/>
                <p>A PCA was performed on the whole data set and most of the variability (45.41%) was explained by the first two principal components (PC1 28.22%, PC2 17.19%) (Figure 5). PC1 could discriminate the years by their tannin concentration in seeds (7.55%) and skins (10.72%) and was mainly dominated by water deficit (PD<sub>Bb-F, </sub>PD<sub>Fl-V, </sub>PD<sub>V-H</sub>) (15.09%) explaining the differences in the wine tannins. PC2 could explain the differences in wine anthocyanins with the GDD<sub>10°C</sub> between <italic>véraison</italic> and harvest (5.01%) influencing the acidity (TA 13.62%, malic acid 13.84%) and described by berry size (11.03%).</p>
                <p/>
                <p>
                    <fig>
                        <label>Table</label>
                        <caption>
                            <title>Figure 5. PCA of the berry and wine data at harvest for the 11 years of the study.</title>
                            <p>Principal component analysis (PCA) of berry and wine data for Pinot Noir over 11 seasons (2005–2015). <bold>(a)</bold> PC1/PC2 loadings plot showing 45.41% of total variance. <bold>(b)</bold> PC1/PC2 scores plot. Combination of the results of yield, pruning mass, juice primary compounds composition, berry architecture, phenolic composition of Pinot Noir berries, and micro-scale wines compared to weather conditions. </p>
                        </caption>
                        <graphic mimetype="image" ns2:type="simple" ns2:href="image6.jpg"/>
                    </fig>
                </p>
                <fig>
                    <label>Table</label>
                    <caption>
                        <title>Figure 5. PCA of the berry and wine data at harvest for the 11 years of the study.</title>
                        <p>Principal component analysis (PCA) of berry and wine data for Pinot Noir over 11 seasons (2005–2015). <bold>(a)</bold> PC1/PC2 loadings plot showing 45.41% of total variance. <bold>(b)</bold> PC1/PC2 scores plot. Combination of the results of yield, pruning mass, juice primary compounds composition, berry architecture, phenolic composition of Pinot Noir berries, and micro-scale wines compared to weather conditions. </p>
                    </caption>
                    <graphic mimetype="image" ns2:type="simple" ns2:href="image6.jpg"/>
                </fig>
                <p/>
                <p>
                    <break/>
                </p>
            </sec>
        </sec>
        <sec id="Discussion">
            <title>Discussion</title>
            <sec id="Climatic-conditions-and-phenology">
                <title>Climatic conditions and phenology</title>
                <p>Some models are available relating grapevine phenology to climate parameters (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">García de Cortázar-Atauri, 2006</xref>; Parker <italic>et al</italic>., 2011; Santos <italic>et al</italic>., 2011; Cola <italic>et al</italic>., 2014). The GFV model (Parker <italic>et al</italic>., 2011) uses the temperature summation of daily average temperature from the first 60 DOY (t0) in the Northern Hemisphere and a baseline minimum temperature threshold (Tb) set at 0°C for the prediction of 50% flowering (stage 23 on the modified E-L scale; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">Coombe, 1995</xref>) and 50% <italic>véraison</italic> (stage 35 on the modified E-L scale), and bud break (Nendel <italic>et al</italic>., 2010) was used to fit phenological models within this study. We found a good prediction of the GFV for flowering date within our data, showing that warmer conditions positively affect the appearance of the flowering event. Therefore, daily raw weather data are reorganized into periods that coincide with average phenological stages (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref31">Jones and Davis, 2000</xref>).</p>
            </sec>
            <sec id="Yield">
                <title>Yield</title>
                <p>We found that the amount of precipitation during the period between budbreak and flowering had a negative influence on yield quantity for the season, influencing the inflorescence differentiation and berry set in relation to the “coulure climatique” phenomenon. There was some attempt to predict yield according to historical weather data (De la Fuente <italic>et al</italic>., 2015), during which warm temperatures (dry and stable atmospheric conditions) were required for balanced crop yield and wine quality (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref31">Jones and Davis, 2000</xref>; Santos <italic>et al</italic>., 2011).</p>
            </sec>
            <sec id="Juice-primary-compounds">
                <title>Juice primary compounds</title>
                <p>Positive correlations were found between total acidity and flowering, <italic>véraison</italic> and harvest dates, indicating that delayed phenology means higher relative acidity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref31">Jones and Davis, 2000</xref>). However, our results were slightly different as <italic>Botrytis</italic> incidence was one driving factor for the harvest date. Although comparable in TSS, the concentration of malic acid in musts was lower in warmer conditions, and the seasons 2007, 2008, 2010, which showed high concentrations of malic acid, were extremely cool during the maturation period and had high precipitation levels during the early period of development (until <italic>véraison</italic>). One of the clearest relationships between temperature and fruit composition is that high temperatures lead to a reduction of the concentration of organic acids (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref38">Kliewer, 1973</xref>), as malic acid degradation is temperature-sensitive (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref57">Ruffner, 1982</xref>; Sweetman <italic>et al</italic>., 2009; Rienth <italic>et al</italic>., 2016). Ambient temperature during Stage III of berry ripening is the major driver of malic acid degradation in grapes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref57">Ruffner, 1982</xref>). In most cases, no TA changes have been observed in the must from moderately water-stressed vines (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref46">Matthews and Anderson, 1989</xref>), but the malate/tartrate ratio was in general lower because of the malate breakdown in vines with low water status (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref46">Matthews and Anderson, 1989</xref>). Malic concentration decreased in a linear manner with water deficit stress (van Leeuwen <italic>et al</italic>., 2009). </p>
            </sec>
            <sec id="Berry-and-wine-anthocyanins">
                <title>Berry and wine anthocyanins</title>
                <p>It is well established that anthocyanin accumulation in grapes would be temperature sensitive (Pereira <italic>et al</italic>., 2006; Mori <italic>et al</italic>., 2007, Tarara <italic>et al</italic>., 2008) and we found that anthocyanin concentrations in skins was enhanced with increasing heat accumulation ΣGDD<sub>10°C </sub>before <italic>véraison</italic>. This is in concordance with previous studies on Pinot Noir sites, which showed that warm temperatures during early berry development appeared to increase phenolic concentrations (Nicholas <italic>et al</italic>., 2011). Increased anthocyanins were correlated with warm days and cool nights during the period between bud break and flowering (Nicholas <italic>et al</italic>., 2011). However, in our study, decreasing heat accumulation after <italic>véraison</italic> had a positive influence on anthocyanins accumulation in skins. This was also found for Pinot Noir where anthocyanins were decreased by increasing heat during the final ripening period (Nicholas <italic>et al</italic>., 2011). However, anthocyanin concentrations in berries as mg g<sup>-1</sup> BFW, relevant from an oenological point of view, were mostly enhanced by yield and berry size, as a result of an early water deficit. Indeed, mild water deficits have a direct and/or indirect (via the light environment around grape clusters) effect on berry composition. Previous studies have shown that water deficit increased the concentration of fruit anthocyanins in Cabernet Sauvignon (Koundouras <italic>et al</italic>., 2009; Holt <italic>et al</italic>., 2010; Casassa <italic>et al</italic>., 2015) and Merlot (Bindon <italic>et al</italic>., 2011; Bucchetti <italic>et al</italic>., 2011) which concurs with our results. There would be a direct influence on anthocyanin concentration (Roby <italic>et al</italic>., 2004; Ju <italic>et al</italic>., 2019). Indeed, anthocyanin content increased in a linear manner with water deficit stress (van Leeuwen <italic>et al</italic>., 2009). Water deficit has been considered to directly enhance the accumulation of anthocyanins, probably by upregulating genes responsible for its synthesis (Castellarin <italic>et al</italic>., 2007; Chaves <italic>et al</italic>., 2010). Gene regulation of the anthocyanin pathway was known to be affected by the timing of imposition of water deficit (Castellarin <italic>et al</italic>., 2007). Anthocyanins have been previously reported to increase with water deficit, especially when water limitation is applied prior to <italic>véraison</italic> (Bindon <italic>et al</italic>., 2011). An early exposure of water stress before <italic>véraison</italic> led to increased anthocyanin accumulation, with an increased sugar accumulation that accelerates anthocyanin synthesis in our own and other experiments (Castellarin <italic>et al</italic>., 2007), probably due to ‘sucrose boxes’ in the promoters of LDOX and DFR genes (Gollop <italic>et al</italic>., 2001; Gollop <italic>et al</italic>., 2002). However, in our case the late water deficit during the maturation period had no significant and no direct influence on skin anthocyanin accumulation, which was also seen elsewhere (Casassa <italic>et al</italic>., 2015). It seemed that the influence of a late water stress was more indirect through a limitation of berry weight and a higher contribution of berry skin (Roby <italic>et al</italic>., 2004). </p>
                <p/>
                <p>Vine water status is known to influence fruit composition through an indirect effect on berry size, and therefore the ratio of skin to pulp, which increases in the smaller berries of vines subjected to water deficits (Kennedy <italic>et al</italic>., 2002; Roby <italic>et al</italic>., 2004). Indeed, anthocyanin concentration increased with water deficit stress (van Leeuwen <italic>et al</italic>., 2009) but with a simultaneous decrease of berry weight. In general, mild water deficits were shown to have a positive impact on wine quality in red varieties and, in our case, the most important contributor for the prediction of anthocyanin extraction in wine was the water stress experienced during the period of maturation. The impact of water deficit on wine anthocyanin concentration is not as clear as for its impact on accumulation in berries (Casassa <italic>et al</italic>., 2015). In our case, higher levels of water stress during this period coupled with warmer conditions led to wine with enhanced color. The concentration of anthocyanins in the skins was not the only significant predictor of the concentration in wine, and was enhanced by higher amounts of skin per berry and higher Brix. Therefore, it seemed that the anthocyanin concentrations, <italic>per se</italic>, was increased by warm temperatures during early berry development and water deficits limiting berry size development. The extractability of the anthocyanins into wine depended greatly on the amount of organ to extract, with higher maturity depending on the water stress experienced during the period of maturation.</p>
            </sec>
            <sec id="Berry-and-wine-tannins">
                <title>Berry and wine tannins</title>
                <p>We observed that higher ΣGDD<sub>10°C</sub> before <italic>véraison</italic> resulted in an increase of the tannin concentration in the fruit, with a higher accumulation in skins than seeds. The mechanisms for the regulation of tannin biosynthesis are not quite fully understood, but it is well known that their synthesis occurs between flowering and <italic>véraison</italic> (Kennedy <italic>et al</italic>., 2002) and is impacted by temperature variation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref51">Pastor del Rio and Kennedy, 2006</xref>; Cohen <italic>et al</italic>., 2012). The influence of the temperature on tannin composition in berries remains unclear but an increase of berry tannins under higher temperatures was reported (Cohen <italic>et al</italic>., 2012). This was also observed in our study. Indeed, an increase in tannin concentration for both Pinot Noir skin and seeds was already associated with warmer conditions between fruit set and <italic>véraison</italic> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref51">Pastor del Rio and Kennedy, 2006</xref>), although others found that the period between bud break and flowering was the major driver (Nicholas <italic>et al</italic>., 2011). However, the warm conditions during the period of tannin biosynthesis was coupled in our study with the lowest precipitation rates and higher water deficits. Tannin concentration in the skin was shown to increase under water deficit (Ojeda <italic>et al</italic>., 2002; Kennedy <italic>et al</italic>., 2002; Bucchetti <italic>et al</italic>., 2011) while limited evidence exists on the effect of water deficit on seed tannins (Kennedy <italic>et al</italic>., 2000; Geny <italic>et al</italic>., 2003; Koundouras <italic>et al</italic>., 2009; Genebra <italic>et al</italic>., 2014). Two studies performed with the same variety (although in different environments) did not show any significant effects of water deficit on seed tannins (Kennedy <italic>et al</italic>., 2000; Geny <italic>et al</italic>., 2003). Indeed, we observed that the increase of the tannin concentration in fruit during warmer early berry development was enhanced with water deficit before <italic>véraison</italic>. In previous studies, water deficit did not alter the concentration of seed tannins in Shiraz (Roby <italic>et al</italic>., 2004) and Cabernet-Sauvignon (Koundouras <italic>et al</italic>., 2009) despite its impact on berry weight. An increase in skin tannin with a water deficit appears to result more from the berry size than from direct effects on phenolic biosynthesis (Roby <italic>et al</italic>., 2004). We showed that the final concentration in fruit was depending on berry size, with a lower concentration for smaller berries, which was related to the water deficit during flowering and <italic>véraison</italic>. Seed tannin concentration is also determined by seed weight and the number of seeds per berry (Harbertson <italic>et al</italic>., 2002; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref51">Pastor del Rio and Kennedy, 2006</xref>). It appears that in our study the influence of water stress impacted berry size, limiting the number of seeds per berry and seed weight, which was highly related to the water deficit experienced during the early stages of berry development between bud break and flowering. There are conflicting reports on how vine water status affects seed weight and number, as some studies found increases caused by water deficit (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref56">Roby and Matthews, 2004</xref>) and others found no effect (Castellarin <italic>et al</italic>., 2007). </p>
                <p/>
                <p>As previously observed, water stress during the period before <italic>véraison</italic> enhanced the extraction of tannins in wines. Likewise, Casassa <italic>et al</italic>. (2015) showed that wine tannins were 14% higher for the early water deficit treatment, and both vine water status and the growing seasons affected the proportion of tannin extracted from seeds, whereas none of these two factors affected the proportion of tannins extracted from skins. We also observed differences in the tannin extraction rate between the seasons, with a large range of 5.75% to 13.85%. An incomplete extraction of 20–40% of tannin from grape into wine has already been observed (Smith <italic>et al</italic>., 2007) as only a portion of skin (40–50%) and seed (16-44%) tannin would be extracted into wine (Harbertson <italic>et al</italic>., 2009). In our case, tannin concentration in the wines was not completely related to tannin concentration in the berries and depended on the season. We found a negative correlation between the extraction rate and the GDD<sub>10°C</sub> between flowering and <italic>véraison</italic> (R<sup>2</sup>=0.567). This may be due to interactions between phenolics and cell-wall components of yeast lees (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">Adams and Scholz, 2007</xref>) such as polysaccharides and/or mannoproteins (Hanlin <italic>et al</italic>., 2010). </p>
            </sec>
        </sec>
        <sec id="Conclusion">
            <title>Conclusion</title>
            <p>The main focus of our study was to investigate the influence of climate condition on berry and wine composition, considering the different stages of phenology. A large number of climatic variables have been linked to vintage fruit quality parameters. A strong relationship exists between improved grape quality and water deficit prior to <italic>véraison</italic>. However, in our study it seems that the influence of water deficit was mostly indirect, through modification of berry size and the contribution through the seeds. Cool, wet winters and springs followed by warm, dry summers are key factors in the development of a high-quality wine. This is in concordance with our results, as anthocyanin concentrations in skins was enhanced with increasing heat accumulation ΣGDD<sub>10°C </sub>before <italic>véraison</italic>, together with an increase of the tannin concentration in fruit, with a favored accumulation in skins over seeds. Furthermore, an increasing heat accumulation ΣGDD<sub>10°C </sub>before <italic>véraison</italic> influenced the extraction rate of the tannins, e.g. the extractability of the compounds into wine. </p>
        </sec>
        <sec id="Acknowledgments">
            <title>Acknowledgments</title>
            <p>The authors thank the staff members of the Department of General and Organic Viticulture (HGU) for their technical support concerning the vineyard management, and also Anna Böhm and Sabrina Samer for supporting field measurements and sample analyses.</p>
        </sec>
    </body>
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